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Could July 4th plans be rained out?

Tropical downpours may impact some holiday festivities.
Tracking an area of low pressure in N FL
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and last updated

UPDATE THURSDAY, JULY 3, 2025:
A frontal boundary has stalled and is weakening off the southeast U.S. coast. An area of low pressure is starting to develop from the weakening front over the Atlantic waters off the coast of Jacksonville. Some gradual development could occur this weekend with a depression forming. The National Hurricane Center currently has a 50% chance of tropical development.

Tropical Outlook

Regardless of tropical development, heavy rainfall is likely across Southwest Florida. The Weather Prediction Center has placed our area in a threat for Excessive Rainfall for Thursday through Saturday. 2-5" totals will be widespread with isolated higher amounts possible through Saturday.

Rounds of heavy rain could lead to minor flooding.
Some heavy rain will be possible on July 4.

While we are tracking rounds of heavy rain, the latest guidance is showing storm activity back off Friday evening. This means fireworks displays might be damp, but should go on.

Fireworks displays shouldn't be AS impacted by wet weather.