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Could tropical development rain on your parade?

Tropical moisture will increase rain chances to 90%.
Tropical Outlook
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UPDATE WEDNESDAY, JULY 2, 2025:

A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop from the weakening front by the weekend over the Atlantic waters off the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf. Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low drifts slowly. The National Hurricane Center currently has 40% chance of tropical developement.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across the Southeast, including Southwest Florida. The Weather Prediction Center has placed our area in a threat for Excessive Rainfall for Wednesday, July 2,Thursday, July 3 and Friday, July 4.

If and where an area of low pressure develops will determine how much rainfall SWFL receives and how long it may affect the area.
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TUESDAY, JULY 1, 2025:

Update on potential development in N FL late week

A frontal boundary is expected to stall and weaken off the southeast U.S. coast late this week. An area of low pressure could develop from the weakening front by the weekend over the Atlantic waters off the southeast U.S., over Florida, or over the eastern Gulf. Some gradual tropical or subtropical development could occur thereafter as the low drifts slowly.

Regardless of development, heavy rainfall is possible across the Southeast, including Southwest Florida. The Weather Prediction Center has placed our area in a threat for Excessive Rainfall on Thursday, July 3 and Friday, July 4.

Here are snapshots of the European model's forecast, showing rainfall possibilities at 8 a.m., 3 p.m. and 8 p.m. on Friday, July 4.

8am Friday, July 4th forecast
3pm Friday, July 4th forecast
8pm Friday, July 4th forecast

If and where an area of low pressure develops will determine how much rainfall SWFL receives and how long it may affect the area.

We will continue to update the forecast as new data arrive. For now, if you have outdoor plans, be prepare to pivot.