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NOT DONE YET: Flood Watch expanded as another 4-8" are possible through the week

A drought-ending rain is underway as deep tropical moisture surges across Southwest Florida.

An additional 5-10" of rainfall will be possible through Friday evening, enhancing the threat for flooding later in the week.

By: Katie Walls

Posted at

and last updated

NAPLES, Fla. — Models seem to be on track, as showers have dramatically thinned out tonight. Flood watches remain in effect but advisories and warnings have been canceled as the flooding threat has subsided for the night.

Isolated showers and storms are expected overnight through the morning commute. Major slowdowns or impacts like Tuesday morning are not expected. However, the Tuesday afternoon and evening commute will be messy.

TIMING FOR NEXT WAVE: Late morning, continuing through the afternoon into the evening. Models are estimating 1-3” with isolated higher amounts in embedded storms through tomorrow evening.

ADDITIONAL RAINFALL: Based upon tonight's model runs (which are slightly less than those earlier), on top of what we’ve already received, we are expecting 4-8” of additional rainfall through Friday night (with more on Saturday.)

UPDATED MODEL DATA - The latest data suggests additional totals (on top of today) between 4-8" through Friday evening. (This is a slight improvement from the earlier projection of 5-10".) Regardless, 4-8" of rainfall will cause some flooding issues in the coming days. pic.twitter.com/XDhShiNkxR
— Katie Walls (@KatieWallsTV) June 12, 2024

FLOODING THREAT: Now that the ground is saturated and drainage ditches and swales are filling up, flooding will become more of a concern, which will continue at least through Thursday.

NEW: DeSoto and Sarasota counties have been added to the Flood Watch, as of 11:35pm. The Watch for DeSoto, Sarasota, Charlotte and Lee will be in effect through Thursday evening. The Watch for Collier, Glades and Hendry will be in effect through Wednesday night.

UPDATE Tuesday, June 11, 9:30pm

The risk of flooding continued Tuesday evening, as a system pumps tropical moisture into much of Southwest Florida.

Collier County saw the worst of the rain on Tuesday, including some localized flooding in downtown Naples, where 4-6" of rain fell.

Tropical moisture and heavy rains bring localized flooding to Naples

Further north to Lee County, the town of Fort Myers Beach opened up sand bag resources to help local residents cope.

Fort Myers Beach distributes sandbags amid week of heavy rain

And in Charlotte County, some downtown Punta Gorda streets had water ponding on the surface, and elsewhere water was just starting to top the seawall. The Punta Gorda area received 2-4" throughout the day.

Minor flooding in Punta Gorda

As we progress through the week and drainage ditches and swales fill up, the flooding concerns will grow. Please stay weather aware. Never drive through a flooded roadway, as it's often impossible to know how deep it is.

Rain chances will remain 90% to 100% through Saturday. Sunday's rain chances drop into the scattered range, which is better news for Father's Day plans.

8pm National Hurricane Center Update:

Deep tropical moisture that we have in place is due to a trough of low pressure in the Gulf of Mexico. As it progresses across Florida and exits into the Atlantic later this week, it has a low chance of becoming a depression off the Southeast coast. Right now, the chance of development over the Atlantic as it moves away from Florida is low at 20% over the next 7 days.