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NOAA increases number of named storms in Atlantic hurricane season outlook

Posted: 11:21 AM, Aug 08, 2019
Updated: 2019-08-09 11:50:21-04
NOAA increases number of named storms in Atlantic Hurricane Season outlook

MIAMI, Fla. — The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) has released an updated outlook for the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season.

The update includes an increase to the number of named storms in the forecast.

The organization attributes the potential for a more active season to the end of El Niño.

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The new outlook calls for 10-17 named storms of which 5-9 could become hurricanes, including 2-4 major hurricanes.

“El Niño typically suppresses Atlantic hurricane activity but now that it’s gone, we could see a busier season ahead,” said Gerry Bell, Ph.D., lead seasonal hurricane forecaster at NOAA’s Climate Prediction Center. “This evolution, combined with the more conducive conditions associated with the ongoing high-activity era for Atlantic hurricanes that began in 1995, increases the likelihood of above-normal activity this year.”

According to NOAA, on average, the Atlantic hurricane season produces 12 named storms, of which six become hurricanes, including three major hurricanes. NOAA’s hurricane season outlook is for overall seasonal activity and is not a landfall forecast. Landfalls are largely determined by short-term weather patterns, which are only predictable within about a week of a storm potentially reaching a coastline.

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2019 STORM NAMES

Andrea Lorenzo
Barry Melissa
Chantal Nestor
Dorian Olga
Erin Pablo
Fernand Rebekah
Gabrielle Sebastien
Humberto Tanya
Imelda Van
Jerry Wendy
Karen


HURRICANE TERMS TO KNOW

Tropical Storm WATCH: An announcement that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified coastal area within 48 hours.

Tropical Storm WARNING: An announcement that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are expected within the specified coastal area within 36 hours.

Hurricane WATCH: An announcement that hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or higher) are possible somewhere within the specified coastal area. A hurricane watch is issued 48 hours in advance of the anticipated onset of tropical-storm-force winds.

Hurricane WARNING: An announcement that hurricane conditions (sustained winds of 74 mph or higher) are expected somewhere within the specified coastal area. A hurricane warning is issued 36 hours in advance of the anticipated onset of tropical-storm-force winds.