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Tropical Outlook 7/5/2020 to 7/11/2020

Tropical Outlook 7/5/2020 to 7/11/2020
Posted at 12:45 PM, Jul 06, 2020
and last updated 2020-07-09 22:45:45-04

THURSDAY UPDATE 7/9

Tropical Storm Fay formed off the NC coast earlier this afternoon and is moving north. Some modest strengthening is expected as it passes east of MD, DE and the Jersey coast. Wind shear and cooler water temps will keep the intensity from getting out of hand. It will be a big rainmaker for the NYC Tri-State area and parts of New England through Saturday. Tropical Storm Warnings are in effect from the Jersey coast to Rhode Island.

FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY

THURSDAY UPDATE 7/9

Chances remain high that we will see a depression form off the coast of the North Carolina or Virginia soon, especially if the low pressure area can stay over water. Right now it is still fairly close to the coast, which should mitigate the threat for more robust development, combined with some upper level wind shear. NHC still gives this area a high chance for development in 2-5 days with the biggest impacts regardless of development being gusty winds, showers, minor coastal flooding and heavier surf.

FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY

WEDNESDAY UPDATE 7/8

NHC has increased the chances for development up to HIGH for an area of low pressure near the coast of North Carolina. The system will move north and if it remains over water could develop further into a tropical system. Impacts are still expected to be the same, higher surf, higher tide cycles, gusty winds, and lots of rainfall. Some parts of the NC coast could see over 5 of rain through Thursday.

FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY

TUESDAY UPDATE 7/7

We are now down to one area of possible development with an area of low pressure that is about to emerge over the Atlantic in the vicinity of the Carolinas. NHC is still giving this area a MODERATE chance for development, although development into anything of significance is unlikely. The system will increase rain chances, winds and the potential for higher tides and surf from DE/MD/VA south to the Carolinas before it pulls away into the Atlantic. The rest of the tropics look quite with unfavorable conditions for development.

FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY

MONDAY UPDATE 7/6

We are monitoring two areas in the tropics in addition to Edouard for possible development in the coming days. An area of low pressure over Georgia will move off the Carolina coast by mid-week with a chance for development. Chances now are medium as it moves over the western Atlantic near the coast. Another area we are watching is approaching the Lesser Antilles. This tropical wave will likely dissipate as it encounters hostile conditions that will hamper development by mid-week.

FOX 4 CHIEF METEOROLOGIST DEREK BEASLEY

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Tropical Storm WATCH: An announcement that tropical storm conditions (sustained winds of 39 to 73 mph) are possible within the specified coastal area within 48 hours.

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