Invest 99L is still very disorganized in the Bahamas as of Saturday morning. The National Hurricane Center continues to decrease the chances for development as it battles wind shear, which is effectively tearing the storm apart as it tries to organize. This likely won’t change much through Sunday. As a result we are not expecting any organization as it moves toward Florida Sunday. Aside from an increase in seas offshore and a few more showers and storms across the area Sunday into early next week, effects on the area will be minimal.
By early next week some slow development will be possible as it enters the eastern Gulf but intensification into a significant storm is unlikely. We will likely see an increase in tropical moisture across our area especially for the first few days of next week, and this will lead to an increase in coverage of showers and storms across the area. Any of the storms that develop will be efficient rain producers and a quick 1-2” of rain at a time won’t be out of the question through Wednesday. High temperatures will be held down some due to more clouds, mainly in the upper 80s to around 90.
Proceed with your weekend plans without concern of rapid development of the tropical disturbance! We will keep an eye on it, but it is not likely to amount to much for our area, besides the subtle changes in the day-to-day weather mentioned above. We’ll keep you updated if anything changes.